Step 1 — Check what's true about this decision
Tick every box that applies. Be honest about the ones you're tempted to skip — those are usually the ones that matter most.
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U-TURN SIGNALS
Reversible. Cheap to undo. Low blast radius.
0
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CLIFF EDGE SIGNALS
Hard to reverse. Expensive to undo. Wide blast radius.
0
Check a few boxes above to get a read on which kind of decision you're facing.
Step 2 — Match the process to the answer
Fill in based on which side won above. If it's close, treat it as a Cliff Edge — the cost of over-processing a U-Turn is a delay; the cost of under-processing a Cliff Edge is the thing the book is about.
If U-Turn: who's empowered to just decide, and by when? If Cliff Edge: who needs a real seat in the Debate Phase before this locks?
What would change your mind?
Who's most likely to see this differently — and have you actually asked them?